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Archive for September, 2007封存9月, 2007

An example of Confirmation Bias 例如,确认偏误

I’ve had some time on my hands this evening and read some "conservative" political blogs.  Politics is the art of making decisions with insufficient evidence to firmly support one decision over another.我已经有一些时间对我的手今天晚上,看了一些“保守”的政治博客。政治是艺术的决策,没有足够的证据来坚定地支持一个决定另一个。 Thus, unlike hard science, it is a subject of hot and passionate debate.因此,不同的硬科学,它是一个热门主题,充满激情的辩论。 In addition to lack of firm evidence supporting one view over another, we tend to be socially imprinted with a certain philosophical and political outlook early in live.除了缺乏确凿的证据支持了一种观点,但我们往往被社会留下了一定的哲学和政治前景早期生活。 For a good fraction of us, it is very hard to later re-evaluate views and opinions that we "soaked up" early in life as new ... Continue Reading »有一个良好的小部分人来说,很难后来重新评估的观点和意见,我们“泡了”早期生命中新的...继续阅读»

Politics and Society JJG 25 Sep 2007 20:54 No Comments 政治和社会 JJG 25九月2007 20:54 没有评论

Dianne Feinstein, symbol of the worthless Beltway Democrat 范士丹,象征民主党毫无价值的休假

Ours is a great country not because of our political leadership but in spite of it.我国是一个伟大的国家,不是因为我们的政治领导,但尽管它。 Despite electing some of the most incompetent politicians we still manage to get by, although lately it has become a little harder than usual.尽管选举的一些最不称职的政治家,我们仍然设法获得的,但近来它已成为一个什么比以往更难。 Case in point: Understanding the Bush-enabling and base-hating behavior of the “liberal” California Democrat reveals much about the failures of the 2007 Congress.典型的例子:理解布什有利的基础仇恨行为的“自由”加利福尼亚州的民主党揭示许多关于失败的2007年美国国会。

read more | digg ... Continue Reading » 阅读全文| Digg的 ...继续阅读»

Politics and Society JJG 24 Sep 2007 00:15 No Comments 政治和社会 JJG 年9月24号2007年00:15 没有评论

Our national priorities 我们国家的优先事项

Yesterday the US Senate has voted down the restoration of Habeas Corpus rights for suspected terrorists, thus making it impossible for those people to challenge their indefinite detention.昨天,美国参议院已否决了恢复人身保护权利的恐怖分子嫌疑人 ,从而不可能为这些人挑战他们的无限期拘留。 Refusing basic right such as Habeas Corpus to suspected criminals, together with a tacit approval of torture makes the US the laughing stock of the rest of the civilized world.拒绝的基本权利,如人身保护令犯罪嫌疑人,连同默许酷刑使美国的笑柄其余的文明世界。 We are no longer respected and admired but ridiculed and feared.我们不再尊重和敬佩,但嘲笑和担心。 However, fear not!然而,没有恐惧! Because today the Senate has been able to pass a glorious resolution in response to a MoveOn newspaper add.因为今天的美国参议院已经能够通过一项决议,光荣回应的MoveOn报纸补充。 This resolution condemns "personal ... Continue Reading »该决议谴责“个人...继续阅读»

Politics and Society JJG 20 Sep 2007 21:52 No Comments 政治和社会 JJG 9月20日2007年21:52 没有评论

The fate of the universe 的命运宇宙

The observable universe began in a gigantic explosion about 13 billion years ago.观测宇宙开始于一个巨大的爆炸,大约13亿年前。 This explosion created everything now known, including space which is currently in an accelerating phase of expansion.这一切发生爆炸造成目前已知,包括空间目前正处于加速阶段的扩张。

组成宇宙

About the major mass-energy ... Continue Reading »关于质量的主要能源...继续阅读»

Science JJG 19 Sep 2007 12:07 No Comments 科学 JJG 9月19日2007年12:07 没有评论

The cost of computer memory 成本的电脑记忆体

Here’s an interesting table: The cost of one gigabyte (1GB) of computer memory over the last 50 years这里是一个有趣的表:成本的一个千兆字节( 1GB的)的电脑记忆体在过去50年

  • 1956: $10 million 1956年: 1000万美元
  • 1980: $233,000 1980年:二十三点三○万美元
  • 1990: $7,700 1990年: $ 7,700
  • 2000: $ 13.30 2000年:十三点三零美元
  • 2006: $1 2006年: 1美元

Sources: ALTS LLC and PC World.来源:低价竞标LLC和PC世界。 Table figures are not adjusted for inflation.表的数字是不是通货膨胀调整。

Computer Tech JJG 18 Sep 2007 20:40 No Comments 计算机技术 JJG 9月18日2007年20:40 没有评论

The Palestinian Situation 巴勒斯坦局势

Our esteemed but ineffective Secretary of State, Ms. Rice, is currently traveling to the Middle East, presumably to re-start the always-stalled Israeli-Palestinian talks about peace and the establishment of a permanent, independent Palestinian state.我们尊敬的,但无效国务卿赖斯目前正在前往中东,大概是为了重新启动总是启动停滞不前的以巴和平会谈,并设立一个常设的,独立的巴勒斯坦国。 The current US administration has no credibility or moral authority left to deal with either the Palestinians or the much tougher Israelis.目前美国政府已没有任何可信性或道义上的权威离开处理无论是巴勒斯坦人或以色列人困难得多。 Thus nothing but empty gestures and words will come of this ‘effort’.因此,只是空洞的姿态和文字将这个'努力' 。 Ms. Rice who I consider to be a abject failure in her job will return home to the US, and with much fanfare announce what ... Continue Reading »赖斯女士谁,我认为是一个悲惨的失败在她的工作将返回美国,并与多少值得夸耀的宣布什么...继续阅读»

Politics and Society JJG 18 Sep 2007 13:54 1 Comment 政治和社会 JJG 9月18日2007年13:54 1条评论

Senator Chuck Hagel on Real Time, 14 Sep 2007 参议员哈格尔实时, 2007年9月14日

Have a look at this extraordinary interview of Senior Republican Senator from Nebraska, Charles "Chuck" Hagel.看看这个非同寻常的采访资深共和党参议员来自内布拉斯加州,查尔斯“查”哈格尔。

About the Middle-East: 关于中东:
Sen. Hagel: "Every country in the Middle East is as combustible as it’s been probably in the history of the Middle East. And there’s been no strategic context from this administration on anything. It’s all about tactics. And that is what I think, more than anything else, has gotten us in the mess that we’re in today."参议员哈格尔: “每个国家在中东作为可燃,因为它一直很可能在中东历史。而且有没有战略背景从这个政府的任何东西。这是关于战术。而且这是我怎么想的,比任何事情都重要,我们已经得到的混乱,我们在今天。 “

Having General ... Continue Reading » 在一般...继续阅读»

Politics and Society JJG 17 Sep 2007 09:44 No Comments 政治和社会 JJG 9月17日2007年9时44分 没有评论

How to put lipstick on a pig 如何将口红的猪

As expected, our great leader, President Bush, has linked the minor troop withdrawal recommended by his straw man Gen. Petraeus to "progress on the ground" in Iraq.正如预期的那样,我们的伟大领袖,美国总统布什,已联系该未成年人的部队撤回他的建议的稻草人彼得雷乌斯将军的“在当地取得进展”在伊拉克。 Here’s to the ‘progress on the ground’:这里的'在当地取得进展' :

... Continue Reading » ...继续阅读»

Politics and Society JJG 14 Sep 2007 15:48 No Comments 政治和社会 JJG 9月14日2007年15:48 没有评论

Exchange Server message: Host unreachable Exchange Server的讯息:无法访问主机

One of our older Servers runs MS Exchange Server 5.5, which is ancient, but very reliable.  A while back users started to complain that their e-mails were returned as undeliverable.我们的一个老版本的服务器运行质谱Exchange Server 5.5中,这是古老的,但非常可靠。一段时间后的用户开始抱怨说,他们的电子邮件被退回。 When checking the logs I found that most messages were returned with a “Host unreachable” message.当检查记录,我发现,大多数的邮件被退回了“无法访问主机”的消息。 The Internet Mail Service outbound queue filled up and none of the messages got delivered. Internet邮件服务输出队列填补了,没有得到的信息提供。 A simple telnet test showed that the hosts were reachable but the old Exchange 5.5 Server for some unknown reason refused to deliver anything.一个简单的远程登录试验表明,东道主到达了,但旧的Exchange 5.5服务器的一些原因不明拒绝提供任何东西。 Googling “Exchange Host Unreachable” revealed a ... Continue Reading »在Google上搜寻“交易所主机不可达”揭示了...继续阅读»

Computer Tech JJG 14 Sep 2007 10:11 2 Comments 计算机技术 JJG 9月14日2007年10:11 2评论

Unbiased thinking is hard work 不带偏见的想法是艰苦的工作

Let’s define a bias as a pre-conceived notion that may not have any correlation to reality.让我们确定一个偏见预先设想的概念,可能没有任何相关的现实。 Everyone’s thinking is subject to such biases which have deleterious effect on decision making, problem solving and learning abilities.每个人的思想是受这种偏见产生有害影响的决策,解决问题和学习能力。 Here’sa list of biases to be aware of下面列出的偏见必须意识到

The confirmation bias leads us to try to prove our existing notions and hypothesis. 确认偏见导致我们试图证明我们现有的概念和假说。 Rather than critically looking for evidence that contradicts our pet hypothesis, we try to confirm ... Continue Reading »而不是批判寻找证据,违背了我们的宠物的假设,我们试图确认...继续阅读»

Science JJG 13 Sep 2007 12:27 1 Comment 科学 JJG 9月13日2007年12:27 1条评论

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